Chrysler IPO Plan Awaited
Fiat SpA will report first-quarter earnings today, and investors are expected to pepper Chief Executive Sergio Marchionne for updates on the financial dealings of partner Chrysler Group LLC.
Marchionne is close to refinancing Chrysler's $7.1 billion in government debt, which will pave the way for Fiat to increase its 30 percent stake in the Auburn Hills automaker by 16 percent, The Detroit News reported.
Questions also are expected about when Chrysler and Ferrari will hold initial public offerings of stock.
This week in Europe, Marchionne said Ferrari may be worth $7.3 billion. Estimated values of firms are used to set the initial stock offering price.
Projecting a value for Chrysler is considered more difficult.
While some analysts think Chrysler could be the sleeper success story of the industry, others said an IPO now would fall short because of the uncertainty about the automaker's future products, profitability and dealings with Fiat.
Although Chrysler has laid out plans through 2014 for vehicles developed with Fiat, "we have no idea what they will be like," said Sean McAlinden, economist with the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor.
Marchionne wants an IPO this year, but the timing is subject to Chrysler's performance, market conditions and available capital. His recent comments that the IPO could be delayed until next year are being interpreted by investors as recognition more time is needed to erase doubt.
It's a company no one has really looked at for a decade or longer, said a member of the investment community who requested anonymity. "Chrysler is kind of in a black hole."
While General Motors was a public company before bankruptcy, Chrysler hasn't been since 1998. But financial results are being released under Marchionne's leadership for more transparency before the IPO.
Top executives are preparing to visit smaller hedge and equity funds to interest them in investing in Chrysler's debt. It would be a precursor to an IPO road show.
"A road show now would be well-received. Wall Street is always hungry to make a buck," said Rebecca Lindland of IHS Automotive in Lexington, Mass.
But Chrysler could make more money by waiting to launch an IPO, said James Ricci, director with KPMG LLP in Detroit.
"That would provide better clarity to their performance and financials. With time, gas prices will be better understood, as will the effect of the situation in Japan. An environment of risks and unknowns is not an environment for an IPO," he said.
Chrysler could be the largest IPO of 2011, said Kathy Smith, principal with Renaissance Capital, an IPO investment adviser in Greenwich, Conn.
"But investors are not positive about the auto sector right now," Smith said, in part because GM stock is underperforming. Chrysler has been out of bankruptcy longer than GM, which had an IPO in November.
"There is not enough of a track record on which to make decisions," Lindland said.
Chrysler "could be a sleeper (hit) or it could be a bomb. That's what they need to evaluate."
More Industry

Kia Closes Out Summer With a Bang
Its U.S. subsidiary broke multiple records in August, in part due to a surge of demand for hybrids models.
Read More →
Indiana Dealership Changes Hands
A 30-year-old Ford dealership in Indiana has a new owner and will soon be undergoing renovations to meet manufacturer requirements.
Read More →
Texas Dealership No Longer in the Family
The Ford store, a longtime cornerstone of the Houston market, is now part of one of the fastest-growing U.S. auto groups.
Read More →
Genesis Grows California Presence
The Cardinale Automotive Group opened its third Genesis rooftop in the Golden State, Genesis of San Bruno, a stand-alone dealership serving the San Francisco Bay Area.
Read More →
August Auto Sales a Mixed Bag
An early forecast shows strong business despite consumer hurdles, and hybrids are a big piece of their affordability coping strategy.
Read More →
EV Market Humming Along
July sales show steady growth as the segment stabilizes from last year’s artificial surge following pullback of federal support.
Read More →
Auto Loan Delinquency Rates Stabilize
Auto loans are a main driver of nonmortgage consumer debt, but delinquency rates stabilized in the second quarter across all credit risk tiers.
Read More →
EV Sales Recover in Q2
The EV sales roller coaster continues as numbers show improvement, but industry experts predict a year-over-year third-quarter decline and fourth-quarter jump.
Read More →
The Cheapest Hybrids to Fuel
The powertrain is increasing in popularity, in no small part due to its fuel economy. A new report lists the most efficient hybrids on the market.
Read More →
Hybrids and SUVs Gaining Ground
The most recent Kelley Blue Book Brand Watch found that only two nonluxury brands increased in shopper consideration, buoyed by their hybrid and SUV offerings.
Read More →