ATLANTA — According to data from the Q3 2018 Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index, U.S. automobile dealers are more positive than negative in describing the current market in the third quarter but are fearful that proposed auto tariffs could hurt profitability. The results are based on a poll of 1,276 dealer respondents conducted from July 31 to August 18. Only 11% of dealers believe auto tariffs on imported vehicles and parts would have a positive impact on their business, while 38% anticipate a negative impact. Fifty-one percent of dealers believe tariffs would have no impact. Franchised auto dealers are more pessimistic, with 56% suggesting new auto tariffs would impact their business negatively. Of the franchised dealers who feel negatively toward tariffs, 66% believe consumers will face higher prices on all new vehicles, not solely imports, as the market adjusts. “Dealers continue to report strong market conditions in the third quarter, with few material changes in key performance indicators from the spring, when we reported record-high sentiment,” said Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke. “While they are positive on today’s business, the new looming threat is the negative impact of proposed tariffs on imported autos and parts. And, for the first time, dealers indicate that limited inventory is the No. 1 obstacle holding back business.” Derived from a survey Cox Automotive issues to a representative sample of franchised and independent auto dealers, the CADSI measures U.S. dealer perceptions of current retail auto sales and sales expectations for the next three months as “strong,” “average,” or “weak.” The quarterly survey also asks dealers to rate new-car sales and used-car sales separately, with a variety of key drivers including consumer traffic and inventory levels. Responses are used to calculate an index where any number over 50 indicates that more dealers view conditions as strong rather than weak. In the Q3 2018 survey, Cox Automotive also explored dealer expectations on the impact of proposed auto import tariffs on business profitability.
More Industry

Black Book: Weekly Market Update
Wholesale auto conversion rates dropped slightly as auction buyers proved picky last week, analysts observed.
Read More →
EV Battery Cycle Life at Risk
Fast charging of electric vehicles provides a solution for range anxiety, but it also poses a risk to battery cycle life due to increased temperatures, according to an EV supply chain data provider.
Read More →
Founding Family Sells Nebraska Dealerships
Expanding Midwest automotive group picks up three stores as part of the robust transaction activity early this year.
Read More →
Automaker Increases Parts Recycling
Stellantis is adding a third end-of-life vehicle dismantling facility to feed its growing reuse business sparked in large part by autos’ growing lifespans.
Read More →
March New-Vehicle Sales Don’t Reflect War
Cox Automotive data shows Americans doubled down on big-is-better despite price increases. Slightly higher incentives helped fuel the demand.
Read More →
Volvo to Shift Some EV Production to U.S.
The automaker says its movement of some electric-vehicle work to the S.C. factory is part of a more tailored product focus. It also plans to add a new hybrid model to the plant’s itinerary.
Read More →
Black Book: Weekly Market Update
Last week's wholesale automotive auction activity continued in a healthy mode, though buyers practiced selectivity.
Read More →
Gas Prices Driving Consumer Interest
CarGurus’ first quarterly review of 2026 shows that affordability concerns are continuing to drive consumer purchases with a shift to more fuel-efficient options.
Read More →
Automakers Have More Tricks Up Their Sleeves
JD Power analysts see auto retail faring this year’s storms well through various means, though it acknowledges conditions are challenging to accurately predict.
Read More →
Insurance Rates Continue to Fall
Car insurance premiums have continued to decline so far this year, the overall national average settling at $138 per month in March, according to Insurify data.
Read More →