Kelley Blue Book Says Used-Car Prices Are Expected to Remain High for Years
With used-car prices at historic highs, customers hoping for those prices to decline may have to wait years for a reprieve.
Prices for used cars are likely to stay high for the next two to three years, according to a report released Thursday by Kelley Blue Book, which tracks new- and used-car prices, according to The New York Times.
The service attributes the sustained strength of used-car prices to a gradual decline in new-car sales dating to 2008, as well as a drop in the number of leased cars becoming available at the end of their contract terms.
The report said that the price of the average one- to three-year-old used vehicle was rising 15.8 percent per year. In 2008, the average cost of a one- to three-year-old vehicle was $15,042, but now the average is $23,353, according to the report.
Many in the industry, Kelley Blue Book included, had claimed that used-car prices peaked late this spring. Forecasters had said that healthier new-car inventories, aided by the recovery of production capacity in Japan after the March earthquake and tsunami, as well as lower fuel prices, would lead to a sales uptick in showrooms and, subsequently, more trade-ins and private sales of used cars.
But showroom sales remain sluggish, and analysts now are concerned that volatility in the financial markets and sustained high unemployment may encourage potential buyers to hang on to their vehicles rather than buy new ones.
Daniel F. Akerson, the chairman and chief executive of General Motors, expressed skepticism earlier this week that total new-car sales, across brands, in the United States this year would reach the company’s forecast of 13 million vehicles. July sales suggested an annual selling rate of about 12.2 million units.
For those who can afford to part with their cars, particularly compact and midsize models, the selling environment is optimal.
Manheim Consulting, which follows used-car sales, says the average price of a small car rose 16.7 percent in July compared with the same period a year ago, while the average price of a midsize car was up nearly 12 percent.
More Industry

Ownership Priorities are Shifting
A new survey shows that in the U.S. vehicle quality for generation Z is largely defined by advanced safety features, intuitive technology and premium sound systems.
Read More →
Pump Price Jump Calculated
ISeeCars.com examined fuel costs for different power trains, finding which ones have experienced the biggest hits since the war in Iran commenced.
Read More →
Black Book: Weekly Market Update
Wholesale values fell last week despite the spring season still being in the traditional full-gear mode, analysts said.
Read More →
Arkansas Auto Group Acquires First Indiana Rooftop
Performance Brokerage Services represented both the buyer and seller in the sale of Carver Toyota of Columbus by Carlock Automotive Group.
Read More →
Stellantis to Dive Into U.S. Lending
The multinational maker of Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, Ram and multiple other brands received conditional approvals for a Utah-based industrial bank.
Read More →
New-Vehicle Prices Rise
With April sales down, higher prices on in-demand large vehicles helped inflate the overall ATP, though increases were under long-term averages, Cox Automotive reported.
Read More →
Black Book: Weekly Market Update
Last week in the wholesale automotive market proved to be a mixed bag, analysts reported.
Read More →
Black Book: Weekly Market Update
Conversion rates were flat last week at 63%, Black Book analysts calculated, as low-mileage and almost-near units outpaced the overall market.
Read More →
EU Auto Association Urges Action
Trade relations between the European Union and the U.S. are at risk, causing the European Automobile Manufacturers Association to push lawmakers to make a decision.
Read More →
Driving into the Super CFC Era
Understanding the risks and benefits of retail accounting and Super CFCs can help you better present options to your dealer partners.
Read More →