Nissan Likely to Raise Forecast
YOKOHAMA, Japan—Nissan Motor Co. will likely raise its earnings forecast for the fiscal year if it can maintain momentum from its strong first quarter, a company executive said, even as he signaled caution over higher costs and the strengthening yen, reported The Wall Street Journal.
When asked why Nissan left its full-year forecast unchanged when it released its earnings last week, Joji Tagawa, a Nissan corporate vice president, suggested the company doesn't yet know by how much it will be able to raise its estimate.
"We aren't concerned about simply meeting our initial forecast," Tagawa said. "It is not our style" to make a minor change in our earnings forecasts every quarter no matter how small, he said.
Tagawa said Nissan will raise its full-year forecast when it sees a clearer outlook for steel and other raw materials prices and the yen—possibly after the end of the first half—suggesting the company is treading carefully amid an uncertain business outlook.
Last week, Nissan reported a net profit of 106.65 billion yen ($1.23 billion) for the April to June period, its highest quarterly net profit in more than two years. Investors were surprised by the company's ability to generate 71 percent of its expected 150 billion yen annual profit in only the first three months of the year, highlighting its quick recovery from an industrywide slump after the global financial crisis.
But despite the strong earnings performance, Nissan didn't raise its full-year forecast, and Tagawa said it is still too early to say the company is back on a sustainable recovery trend.
Nissan is also watching currency levels. The U.S. dollar could weaken against the yen, falling below 85 yen, Tagawa said. The greenback hit an eight-month low of 85.95 yen Friday before rallying back to around 86.70 yen Monday.
The Japanese car maker bases its earnings forecast for the current fiscal year on a dollar rate of 90 yen. Anything below the level would affect its profit forecast, as a stronger yen reduces profit the company earns overseas when repatriated, while also making Japan-built vehicles more expensive abroad.
Each time the dollar falls by one yen, 15 billion yen would be wiped off the company's operating profit for the current fiscal year, Tagawa said. Under its current assumptions, Nissan expects an operating profit of 350 billion yen for this fiscal year.
The Japanese carmaker posted a surprisingly strong operating profit margin of 8 percent in the April-June quarter, due to improved vehicles sales in all markets and cost-cutting.
However "it will be hard to maintain this 8 percent margin in the second and following quarters" of this fiscal year, as likely higher material costs and a potentially stronger yen could cut into profitability, Tagawa said.
Solid sales of sport-utility vehicles in the U.S. helped to boost the company's profit, but such demand is unlikely to last as consumers continue to shift to smaller, fuel efficient cars, he said.
More Industry

Kia Closes Out Summer With a Bang
Its U.S. subsidiary broke multiple records in August, in part due to a surge of demand for hybrids models.
Read More →
Indiana Dealership Changes Hands
A 30-year-old Ford dealership in Indiana has a new owner and will soon be undergoing renovations to meet manufacturer requirements.
Read More →
Texas Dealership No Longer in the Family
The Ford store, a longtime cornerstone of the Houston market, is now part of one of the fastest-growing U.S. auto groups.
Read More →
Genesis Grows California Presence
The Cardinale Automotive Group opened its third Genesis rooftop in the Golden State, Genesis of San Bruno, a stand-alone dealership serving the San Francisco Bay Area.
Read More →
August Auto Sales a Mixed Bag
An early forecast shows strong business despite consumer hurdles, and hybrids are a big piece of their affordability coping strategy.
Read More →
EV Market Humming Along
July sales show steady growth as the segment stabilizes from last year’s artificial surge following pullback of federal support.
Read More →
Auto Loan Delinquency Rates Stabilize
Auto loans are a main driver of nonmortgage consumer debt, but delinquency rates stabilized in the second quarter across all credit risk tiers.
Read More →
EV Sales Recover in Q2
The EV sales roller coaster continues as numbers show improvement, but industry experts predict a year-over-year third-quarter decline and fourth-quarter jump.
Read More →
The Cheapest Hybrids to Fuel
The powertrain is increasing in popularity, in no small part due to its fuel economy. A new report lists the most efficient hybrids on the market.
Read More →
Hybrids and SUVs Gaining Ground
The most recent Kelley Blue Book Brand Watch found that only two nonluxury brands increased in shopper consideration, buoyed by their hybrid and SUV offerings.
Read More →