Providers and Administrators in blue logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Wall Street Optimistic Ford/UAW Deal Will be Approved

October 18, 2011
2 min to read


Wall Street is optimistic the tentative labor agreement between Ford Motor Co. and the United Auto Workers that keeps U.S. labor costs competitive will pass in the final two days of voting.


Ratings agencies have said successful ratification of the vote is a precursor to upgrading Ford's credit rating. The automaker is hoping to return to investment grade as early as year end, a status it lost in 2006, according to The Detroit News.

Ad Loading...


Two-thirds of the 41,000 Ford workers have finished their ratification votes and 62 percent are in favor of the four-year pact.


Most of the union locals still to report will not be finished voting until Tuesday — the deadline for all 58 locals.


The agreement requires a simple majority to be ratified, at which point the agreement becomes official. Confirmation of passage is expected Wednesday.


"After some early results appeared to put ratification at risk (vote was 55 percent against early Friday), several large facilities have voted in favor by wide margins, including Dearborn Assembly (62 percent in favor) and Kansas City Assembly (88 percent in favor)," said analyst Rod Lache of Deutsche Bank in a research note Monday.


"It now appears likely the deal will pass, as the remaining 40 percent of the workforce would need to vote approx 70 percent "no" in order to swing the overall outcome."

Ad Loading...


Lache said the agreement will keep Ford's U.S. labor costs relatively flat over four years, ratification removes the risk of a work stoppage and the deal positions Ford well if the auto industry recovers in the U.S.


Additionally, "we believe that this clears one of the final hurdles to the announcement of a meaningful dividend at Ford in the relatively near future," Lache said.


Brian Johnson at Barclays Capital also said in a research note Monday that approval by Ford workers appears likely.


"Overall, we estimate the tentative contract would add about 70 cents per hour to Ford's labor costs, or about $70 million annually — assuming only 1,000 skilled trades retire," Johnson said.


"Higher attrition could lower the net cost further," Johnson said, noting Ford still has the highest cost per hour because the $58 an hour rate going into the contract was much higher than Chrysler Group LLC's $49 and General Motors Co. is expected to benefit from greater skilled trades attrition and cuts to legal services.

Ad Loading...


Barclays estimates a strike would have cost Ford $273 million a day in lost revenue and $71 million a day in lost profit, although some of that would be made up in 2012 with increased overtime, Johnson said.


"Nevertheless, a strike would have delayed any rating agency upgrade or dividend," Johnson said.

More Industry

Blurred photo of red car moving down a road
Industryby Hannah MitchellMarch 31, 2026

Automakers Have More Tricks Up Their Sleeves

JD Power analysts see auto retail faring this year’s storms well through various means, though it acknowledges conditions are challenging to accurately predict.

Read More →
background view of Washington D.C. with the capitol building and cherry trees. Text says 'What's the Cost?' with two diverging arrows and the Providers and Administrator's logo
Industryby Lauren LawrenceMarch 31, 2026

Insurance Rates Continue to Fall

Car insurance premiums have continued to decline so far this year, the overall national average settling at $138 per month in March, according to Insurify data.

Read More →
Bar graphic showing car segment activity for the previous week
Industryby StaffMarch 31, 2026

Black Book: Weekly Market Update

Last week's wholesale auction activity was stable, though buyers exercised selectivity as they focused on certain segments.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
gray background with white text that says Dealer Debrief 03/25/2026 with Lauren Lawrence. picture of a white woman (Lauren) with red hair
Industryby Lauren LawrenceMarch 25, 2026

Dealer Debrief: Safety, Supply & Partnership

In this week's Dealer Debrief, host Lauren Lawrence covers a new safety assessment, current inventory issues, and a new payables process for dealerships.

Read More →
Line chart depicting retail used-vehicle auction volume
Industryby StaffMarch 24, 2026

Black Book: Weekly Market Update

Both conversions and values were up last week, though business was spotty depending on the segment in question.

Read More →
red battery-electric vehicle using a Tesla Supercharging station
Industryby Lauren LawrenceMarch 24, 2026

Stellantis Expands Charging Network

Five of its brands now have greater access to battery-electric vehicle charging through Tesla’s Supercharger network across North America.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
blue subaru crosstrek in city with Save with SUVS text and Providers and Administrators logo
Industryby Lauren LawrenceMarch 17, 2026

Safety Drives Insurance Rates

Sixteen out of the 20 cheapest vehicles to insure in 2026 are SUVs, according to CarInsurance.com, largely because of their safety features and lower repair costs.

Read More →
Close-up photo of the front of a new-looking white car
Industryby Hannah MitchellMarch 17, 2026

New-Vehicle Shoppers Get Some Relief

Overall conditions in February tipped slightly in consumers’ favor as prices stayed high, granting a reprieve of sorts just before the war on Iran commenced and started to reverse the welcome trend.

Read More →
row of cars, used vehicle demand spikes, chart showing data spike, F&I and Showroom logo
Showroomby Lauren LawrenceMarch 11, 2026

Used Market Gains Speed

New-vehicle sales fell year-over-year for the fifth month in a row in February, making retail deliveries the slowest they’ve been since 2023, according to a CarGurus report.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
text reading Auto Loan Defaults Reach 2% on desk background with car keys, calculator, notepad, and toy car
Industryby Lauren LawrenceMarch 10, 2026

Auto Loan Defaults Measured Amid Inflation

According to LendingTree data, the average monthly auto loan payment was $540 in the fourth quarter, and the average credit score for those with a recorded default was 529.

Read More →